An analysis of the effects of exchange rate volatility on exports in Namibia

dc.contributor.authorShipanga, Eden T.en_US
dc.date.accessioned2014-02-07T14:08:07Z
dc.date.available2014-02-07T14:08:07Z
dc.date.issued2009en_US
dc.descriptiona theses submitted in partial fulfilment of the requirements for the Degree of Master of Science in Economicsen_US
dc.description.abstractAbstract provided by authoren_US
dc.description.abstractIn the area of international trade, studies have examined whether increases in exchange-rate volatility affect the trade flows of Less Developed Countries LDCs. The aim of this study is to investigate empirically the impact of exchange-rate volatility on the export flows of Namibia as one of the developing countries over the period 1998 - 2008. These are achieved by means of utilizing quarterly data of exchange rate and the trade flow of real exports of Namibia for the period 1998 - 2008en_US
dc.description.abstractDuring the stipulated time period, Namibia had experienced tremendous volatility in its exchange rate. Therefore, an assessment of the economic performance of the Namibian exports over the period 1998 - 2008 had been used to conclude that the price of the Namibian dollar (N$) is important to its future economic performancesen_US
dc.description.abstractThe econometric analysis was employed to exploit the theory of cointegration, given the obvious non-stationarity of the time series. The study used Engle-Granger two step procedures. Three measures of exchange rate volatilities were used and produced mixed results. The mean adjusted relative change (V) as a measure of exchange rate volatility indicated positive and insignificant impact on real exports of Namibia. The moving average standard deviation (MASD) as a measure of exchange rate volatility produced a negative insignificant impact of exchange rate volatility on real exports of Namibia. The last measure of exchange rate volatility was the general autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity (GARCH), which indicated a positive and significant impact of exchange rate volatility on Namibia's real exports. These results suggest that Namibia should start exploring possibility of macro-economic policy independence and be involved in the determination of exchange rate within the CMA framework.en_US
dc.description.abstractIn the area of international trade, studies have examined whether increases in exchange-rate volatility affect the trade flows of Less Developed Countries LDCs. The aim of this study is to investigate empirically the impact of exchange-rate volatility on the export flows of Namibia as one of the developing countries over the period 1998 - 2008. These are achieved by means of utilizing quarterly data of exchange rate and the trade flow of real exports of Namibia for the period 1998 - 2008en_US
dc.description.abstractDuring the stipulated time period, Namibia had experienced tremendous volatility in its exchange rate. Therefore, an assessment of the economic performance of the Namibian exports over the period 1998 - 2008 had been used to conclude that the price of the Namibian dollar (N$) is important to its future economic performancesen_US
dc.description.abstractThe econometric analysis was employed to exploit the theory of cointegration, given the obvious non-stationarity of the time series. The study used Engle-Granger two step procedures. Three measures of exchange rate volatilities were used and produced mixed results. The mean adjusted relative change (V) as a measure of exchange rate volatility indicated positive and insignificant impact on real exports of Namibia. The moving average standard deviation (MASD) as a measure of exchange rate volatility produced a negative insignificant impact of exchange rate volatility on real exports of Namibia. The last measure of exchange rate volatility was the general autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity (GARCH), which indicated a positive and significant impact of exchange rate volatility on Namibia's real exports. These results suggest that Namibia should start exploring possibility of macro-economic policy independence and be involved in the determination of exchange rate within the CMA framework.en_US
dc.description.degreeWindhoeken_US
dc.description.degreeNamibiaen_US
dc.description.degreeUniversity of Namibiaen_US
dc.description.degreeMaster of Science in Economicsen_US
dc.description.statusSuccessfully Downloaded file :http://wwwisis.unam.na/theses/shipanga2009.pdfen_US
dc.format.extentvi, 54 pen_US
dc.identifier.isisF004-199299999999999en_US
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/11070/434
dc.language.isoengen_US
dc.masterFileNumber3542en_US
dc.source.uriabstracts/shipanga2009abs.pdfen_US
dc.source.urihttp://wwwisis.unam.na/theses/shipanga2009.pdfen_US
dc.subjectForeign exchangeen_US
dc.subjectForeign exchange ratesen_US
dc.subjectExports Namibiaen_US
dc.titleAn analysis of the effects of exchange rate volatility on exports in Namibiaen_US
dc.typeThesisen_US
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